Blog
Deep dives into NBA analytics, machine learning and the science of basketball prediction
Featured
Understanding Basketball's Four Factors: A Deep Dive on the Metrics That Actually Win Games
Dean Oliver's Four Factors framework explains why teams win with remarkable precision. Here's how each metric works, what the weights actually look like, and how our XGBoost_Top17 model uses them.
3/4/2026•8 min
Understanding Basketball's Four Factors: A Deep Dive on the Metrics That Actually Win Games
Dean Oliver's Four Factors framework explains why teams win with remarkable precision. Here's how each metric works, what the weights actually look like, and how our XGBoost_Top17 model uses them.
3/4/2026•8 min
four-factorsbasketball-analyticsnba
I Analyzed 5,000 NBA Games - Here's What Actually Predicts Wins
What I learned building a prediction model that contradicts everything you think you know about basketball
1/15/2026•12 min
NBAMachine LearningAnalytics
16 Days Live: Why Our Honest 64% Beats Claimed 80%
After 116 predictions over 16 days, here's our brutally honest performance breakdown and why calibration matters more than raw accuracy.
1/6/2026•6 min
PerformanceCalibrationHonest Results